The Arctic Resilience Report is a science-based assessment that aims to better understand the integrated impacts of change in the Arctic. Its goals are to:
- Identify the potential for shocks and large shifts in ecosystems services that affect human well-being in the Arctic.
- Analyze how different drivers of change interact in ways that affect the ability of ecosystems and human populations to withstand shocks, adapt or transform.
- Evaluate strategies for communities and governments to adapt.
The Arctic is changing rapidly, in ways that could dramatically affect people’s lives and ecosystems. Along with climate change, a major concern, there are other environmental changes happening at the same time, as well as rapid social, economic and political developments. While some changes may be gradual, the interactions among different driving forces may also lead to tipping points in social-ecological systems, with large impacts on Arctic peoples and economies, and on global ecosystem services.
Such large shifts can be difficult to predict. They may also be irreversible even if the causes of shift are removed or weakened. Early identification of potential tipping point can help decision makers plan for an uncertain future.
An Arctic Council Project
The Arctic Resilience Report was approved as an Arctic Council project at the Senior Arctic Official’s meeting in November 2011, following a scoping workshop held in Stockholm in September. The ARR is a priority for the Swedish Chairmanship of the Arctic Council (May 2011 – May 2013), and was initiated by the Swedish Ministry of the Environment.
The project builds on a methodology for assessing the interactions of drivers and change across multiplescales. The process includes active engagement with stakeholders in identifying valuable aspects of the social-ecological system and the drivers that affect them.
An integral part of the assessment is also to identify policy and management options that may be needed for strengthening resilience, for adaptation, and for transformational change when this is necessary.
An interim report will be delivered in May 2013, and a final report in May 2016.
The ARR Implementation Plan provides further details about the project background, approach and workplan: ARR Implementation Plan September 2014 (PDF, 335 KB)
As of January 2015, funding has been provided by:
- Swedish Environmental Protection Agency
- Swedish Ministry of the Environment
- Nordic Council of Ministers
- Swedish Research Council Formas